International Investing Amid Brexit Negotiations

As negotiations regarding Brexit terms between the United Kingdom and the European Union continue to evolve, the probabilistic implications for investors are also evolving. Foreign developed markets rightfully account for a meaningful portion of most well-diversified investment portfolios, and the terms of the final Brexit deal…

Determining Withdrawal Rates for Retirement Income

Many investors depend on interest and dividend cash flow from a tailored income portfolio as they transition into retirement. A diversified allocation of bonds and high-yield stocks, in addition to a selection of growth-focused equities to keep pace with inflation, can provide the consistent cash flows necessary to transfer from a steady paycheck to a sustainable high quality of life in retirement. A portfolio income strategy, however…

Market Impact from Election Day

As all investors know, election results have an impact on markets, whether by maintaining the status quo, providing a mandate for massive change, or something between the two extremes. The precise impact can often be difficult to determine. For instance…

Low Interest Rates and Investor Risk Tolerance

In the current environment of ultra-low interest rates, which are often negative real rates after accounting for the impact of inflation, income-seeking investors are often faced with a decision regarding whether to accept increased volatility and risk in order to pursue higher yields. These yields can…

Central Bank Digital Currency

The Federal Reserve is exploring the possibility of issuing digital currency backed by the central bank (CBDC) at some point in the future, which may have significant implications for cross-border international monetary transactions and other areas of the economy. As noted in this article…

Third Quarter Earnings and the Economy

Earnings season is kicking off, with several major banks reporting their quarterly results this week. These results can often serve as a barometer for the greater economy at-large, given that many sectors and industries interact with banks as they secure financing, issue debt and equity to investors…

Watching Global Economic Trends

While observing domestic and global economic activity trends, an investor would be well-served to keep in mind their specific investment time horizon. Particularly in the case of assessing an economic recovery, precise timing is important for investors with a short time horizon because discrepancies between short-term economic indicator expectations and results can cause significant volatility in equity and debt markets. Investors with a longer time horizon, however, can take advantage of the fact that…

Assessing the Quality of Bank Dividends

Dividends can provide essential tax-advantaged cash flows to investors’ portfolios for the purpose of opportunistic tactical reinvestment and periodic income distributions. Banks are currently priced at relatively low levels and, as a result, boast relatively high dividend yields. The low stock prices aren’t necessarily…

Considerations for Investing in Your Employer

Individuals often have the option to invest in their employer via stock equity through an Employee Stock Purchase Program (ESPP), employee stock options plan, or restricted stock units, which can serve to effectively align incentives to create long-term value and provide employees the opportunity to meaningfully participate in such value creation. These plans often…

The Outlook for Oil Demand Growth

Even with the growth of the “sustainable energy” industry, due in large part to technological advances and government subsidy policies, worldwide oil demand has continued to grow as fossil fuels have provided the energy that individuals, families, and businesses need in growing economies. That growth may…

Quantifying Environmental, Social, and Governance Risks

Investors have recently shown increasing interest in offerings that focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) sustainability. As this WSJ article notes, “in the first half of 2020, net flows into sustainable funds totaled $20.9 billion in the U.S., compared with $21.4 billion for 2019 as a whole.” An apples-to-apples comparison, however…

A Weak Dollar and Stock Investing

The U.S. dollar has recently been weakening considerably relative to other currencies, driven at least in part by exceptionally low interest rates that reduce the appeal of holding the dollar. While the impact of a cheaper currency is complex and not entirely predictable, it does bring…

Money Market Funds Amid Ultra-Low Interest Rates

Institutions and individual investors often employ money-market funds as a way to invest assets for a very short period of time when they would like to achieve a nominal return that’s above zero while theoretically shielding their money from short-term volatility. While this is typically not an…