Watching Global Economic Trends

While observing domestic and global economic activity trends, an investor would be well-served to keep in mind their specific investment time horizon. Particularly in the case of assessing an economic recovery, precise timing is important for investors with a short time horizon because discrepancies between short-term economic indicator expectations and results can cause significant volatility in equity and debt markets. Investors with a longer time horizon, however, can take advantage of the fact that…

Assessing the Quality of Bank Dividends

Dividends can provide essential tax-advantaged cash flows to investors’ portfolios for the purpose of opportunistic tactical reinvestment and periodic income distributions. Banks are currently priced at relatively low levels and, as a result, boast relatively high dividend yields. The low stock prices aren’t necessarily…

Considerations for Investing in Your Employer

Individuals often have the option to invest in their employer via stock equity through an Employee Stock Purchase Program (ESPP), employee stock options plan, or restricted stock units, which can serve to effectively align incentives to create long-term value and provide employees the opportunity to meaningfully participate in such value creation. These plans often…

The Outlook for Oil Demand Growth

Even with the growth of the “sustainable energy” industry, due in large part to technological advances and government subsidy policies, worldwide oil demand has continued to grow as fossil fuels have provided the energy that individuals, families, and businesses need in growing economies. That growth may…

Quantifying Environmental, Social, and Governance Risks

Investors have recently shown increasing interest in offerings that focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) sustainability. As this WSJ article notes, “in the first half of 2020, net flows into sustainable funds totaled $20.9 billion in the U.S., compared with $21.4 billion for 2019 as a whole.” An apples-to-apples comparison, however…

A Weak Dollar and Stock Investing

The U.S. dollar has recently been weakening considerably relative to other currencies, driven at least in part by exceptionally low interest rates that reduce the appeal of holding the dollar. While the impact of a cheaper currency is complex and not entirely predictable, it does bring…

Money Market Funds Amid Ultra-Low Interest Rates

Institutions and individual investors often employ money-market funds as a way to invest assets for a very short period of time when they would like to achieve a nominal return that’s above zero while theoretically shielding their money from short-term volatility. While this is typically not an…

Evaluating a Changing Auto Industry

When an industry experiences a sea change driven by shifting consumer trends and technological advancement, investors may find both new opportunities and new risks to cash flow. The auto industry is experiencing just such a disruption, as electric vehicle technology, rideshare trends, upstart competitors, a global pandemic, and…

Discounting Future Cash Flows in an Economic Recovery

At any given point in time, the value of the stock market reflects all future cash flows, discounted to the present at the appropriate cost of capital. This is important to understand because equities do not and should not necessarily correspond to current economic conditions. In the context of a recession, understanding the probabilistic recovery outlook can…

The Impact of Economic Conditions on Renewable Energy

Companies face a constant challenge to maintain relevance and financial viability as economic conditions, customer preferences, and government policies change. Adept investors identify and overweight companies that successfully assess and adjust to these changes. The energy sector is currently dealing with the challenge of lower consumer demand and the resulting lower prices; as this article notes, “the coronavirus pandemic has…

Gold as a Safe Haven

The spot price of gold attained an all-time high on Monday, July 27, drawing the attention of investors worldwide. The precious metal is often employed as a hedge against inflation and market uncertainty, based on the theory that gold should retain its value when equity and bond prices fall, or when currency is devalued and nominal prices rise. It’s worth noting that gold does not…

Perspective in Earnings Season

With earnings season upon us, quarterly company reports can provide information that assists investors in analyzing trends and identifying beneficial investment opportunities. Revenue and profit margin data help to paint a picture of how current economic conditions and consumer behavior are impacting company operations. Cash flow statements and balance sheets enable an assessment of…

Saving and Investing for College

Several different tax-advantaged options are available to support the endeavor to save and invest for higher education expenses. Parents can employ these when planning for their children’s college costs, and individuals may take advantage of these options to fund their graduate-level…

Extended Tax Deadline Opportunities

Tomorrow, July 15, is the extended deadline for 2019 tax returns. Of equal significance, until tomorrow individuals have the ability to move assets to tax-sheltered accounts. The extension for filing tax returns also applies to the deadlines for contributing to Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs) and…